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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 6/3/2024

Baltimore Orioles(-1.5) @ Toronto Blue Jays

DK +145

FD +146

MLB Best bet Season Record: 41-49

AP Photo/Gene J. Puskar

Kevin Gausman has not had his best stuff in 2024. He's not going deep into games His FIP is over performing his era, with a 3.11 in contrast to a 4.14. He will always do a good job of keeping the ball in the yard. The issue this year is that 1/3 of every batter that gets on base ends up scoring. This is because he's striking out the fewest batters he's faced since 2018. A 24% K Rate doesn't quite work with his stuff. Gausman has had a penchant for getting hit really hard and that has always been offset by his ability to punch out batters.

So Gausman's having a down year by his standards, but has had some good starts against bottom 10 offenses. Today he faces a team that has had his number. In the Baby Birds era, Kevin Gausman is 1-3 with 4.61 ERA against Baltimore. I expect a bounce back start for Grayson Rodriguez in conjunction with at least a 5 run game from Baltimore's offense, making it best bet worthy.

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