Tampa Bay Rays @ Kansas City Royals(ML)
DK -118
FD -116
MLB Best Bet Season Record: Johnny Cash's Hurt(60-74)

The Kansas City Royals are great at Kauffman Stadium. They are 30-16 straight up in their friendly confines. Brady Singer is a good pitcher. His groundball profile plays right into the weakness. In June the Rays started lifting the ball a little bit more, but for the season on the whole they still rank 23rd in groundball rate, with 42.9% of their balls in play end up in the dirt. Singers gets everyone he faces to spike the ball into the ground with his 51.2% groundball rate.
Zack Littell has not been great. He's slightly underperforming his FIP; he has a 4.17 ERA and a 3.73 FIP. He's been unlucky with BABIP, with an induced BABIP of .344, and that part is on Littell to an extent. He gets hit very hard, on average his opponents have an average exit velocity of 92.3 MPH. He gets barreled up 9.2% of the time and only induces groundballs 33.2% of the time. It's a bad matchup into the team that his the most fly balls of any team in all of MLB.
Math likes this one. The Gut likes this one. Let's win a best bet.
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