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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

2023 NFL Season Preview: NFC EAST

Team Totals, Player Props and other Season Long Picks

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Washington Commanders

O/U: 6.5

Super Bowl: +8000

NFC Champion: +4000

NFC East Winner: +1300

Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

2022 Record: 8-8-1(8-8-1 ATS)

2022 Offense: 24th(DVOA 28th)

2022 Defense: 7th(DVOA 9th)

2022 Special Teams: 24th(DVOA 7th)



Free Agency


Additions: QB Jacoby Brisset, RT Andrew Wylie, IDL Abdullah Anderson, C Nick Gates, LB Cody Barton, RT Trenton Scott


Re-signings: IDL Daron Payne, EDGE Efe Obada,m C Tyler Larsen, LB David Mayo, RB Jonathan WIlliams, CB Danny Johnson, S Jeremy Reaves, LB Khaleke Hudson, LB Milo Eifler, CB Rachad Wildgoose


Departures: QB Carson Wentz, C Chase Roullier, RB JD McKissic, RG Trai Turner, LB Jon Bostic, LB Nate Gerry, C Nick Martin, TE Eli Wolf, LG Wes Martin, QB Taylore Heinicke, S Bobby McCain, C Wes Schweitzer, WR Cam Sims, LB Cole Holcomb


Draft

Round 1: Emmanuel Forbes(16), Mississippi State CB

Round 2: Jartavius Martin(47), Illinois CB

Round 3: Ricky Stromberg(97), Arkansas C

Round 4: Braeden Daniels(118), Utah OT

Round 5: KJ Henry(137). Clemson EDGE

Round 6: Chris Rodriguez Jr(193), Kentucky RB

Round 7: Andre Jones(233), Louisiana LB


Undrafted Free Agents of Note

WR Kazmeir Allen, UCLA

WR Mitchell Tinsley



2023 Preview


The Washington Commanders have already won their season by being rid of one one the worst owners in NFL history. The good news is that their team is pretty good too. Despite finishing in last place and having a poor QB situation, The Commanders were still 8-8-1 in a very competitive NFC East. Frankly the power in the NFC is focused in the east to a disproportionate amount.


Washington is the only team in the NFC East with a new QB. Sam Howell is heading into his 2nd season with a a lot of hype. He gets a new play caller in Eric Bienemy and has some great weapons at his disposal. Terry McLaurin is a monster and has only ever played with sub-par QB's, Jahan Dotson has real potential as a big play threat, and Curtis Samuel is as steady as they come in the slot and as a gadget player. My big concern with The Commanders on offense is that the offensive line looks weak. Charles Leno Jr, Sam Cosmi, and Andrew Wylie are solid pieces, but I'm not sure what the confidence level is in Saahdiq Charles and Nick Gates is. They did add Ricky Stromberg in the draft and he should be a boon to the interior. It all comes down to Sam Howell and how much he's able to make the most of his weapons. He has tons of of potential, its just on him and the Commanders to maximize it.


The Defense is returning every key contributor besides Bobby McCain and Cole Holcomb, and they were a top 10 unit in the nFL last season. The good news is that they'll be able to get off the field and stay off the field with a steady hand at QB, so I expect them to improve a la the way I expect the Patriots to improve defensively. This was all without Chase Young, who isn't returning until week 3 of this season. Jonathan Allen, Montez Sweat and Daron Payne are monsters and once Chase Young gets back they are going to have a formidable pass rush and front 4 in general. I'm expecting a jump in quality of play for Jamin Davis, which will help the rest of the defense and take heat off the safeties in the run game. Kendall Fuller and Jeremy Curl are getting reinforcements in the form of Emmanuel Forbes who is a ballhawk and playmaking defensive back It's a solid unit and I'm expecting solid play from them.


OVER OR UNDER

6.5 is way too low. Over ,especially since they got better on the whole


Player Prop

Sam Howell OVER 3200.5 Passing Yards feels strong




New York (Football)Giants

O/U: 7.5

Super Bowl: +4800

NFC Champion: +2200

NFC East Winner: +700

USA Today


2022 Record: 9-7-1(13-4 ATS)

2022 Offense: 16th(DVOA 10th)

2022 Defense: 18th(DVOA 29th)

2022 Special Teams: 14th(DVOA 22nd)


Free Agency


Additions: WR Jamison Crowder, TE Tommy Sweeney, IDL Rakeem Nunez-Roches, WR Parris Campbell, LB Bobby Okereke, S Bonbby McCain, WR Jeff Smith, CB Amani Oruwariye, TE Darren Waller, IDL A'Shawn Robinson, C JC Hassenauer


Re-signings: RB Saquon Barkley, QB Daniel Jones, IDL Dexter Lawrence, WR Sterling Shepherd, RB Matt Brieda, EDGE Jihad Wared, LS Casey Kreiter, P Jamie Gillan, LB Jarrad Davis, WR Darius Slayton, EDGE Oshane Ximines, WR Lawrence Cager, LG Wyatt Davis, RG Jack Anderson, WR Isaiah Hodgins


Departures: WR Kenny Gollady, IDL Justin Ellis, S Tony Jefferson, S Landon Collins, WR Marcus Johnson, CB Fabian Moreau, LB Jaylon Smith, LG Jon Feliciano, IDL Nicholas WIlliams, WR Richie James, C Nick Gates, IDL Henry Mondeaux, S Julian Love


Draft

Round 1: Deonte Banks(24), Maryland CB

Round 2: John Michael Schmitz(57), Minnesota C

Round 3: Jalin Hyatt(73), Tennessee WR

Round 5: Eric Gray(172), Oklahoma RB

Round 6: Tre Hawkins III(209) , Old Dominion CB

Round 7: Jordan Riley(243), Oregon DT, Gervarrius Owens(254), Houston S


Undrafted Free Agents of Note

WR Bryce Ford-Wheaton, West Virginia

EDGE Habakkuk Baldonado, Pittsburgh



2023 Preview


The New York Giants and the Minnesota Vikings were cut from the same cloth in 2022. They just kept winning close games and as soon as they ran into a team with some legitimate firepower on either side of the ball they got dog-walked. In the NFL, you can survive a loooong time with nothing but horseshoe and grit, which is how I'd describe the Giants last season. They were 7-4-1 in one score games and despite the winning record, they had a -6 point differential. Living on the razor's edge leads to regression the next season in most cases, but maybe the Giants can avoid that, just on the strength of a 3rd place schedule in the NFC.


The offense was awesome. They ranked 9th in EPA per play and diud that with just a lack of playmakers. Danny Dimes has gotten a lot of crap in his career but no one can deny how great of a runner he is and how tough he is as a player on the whole. He was elevated by Brian Daboll and Mike Kafka, and finally had a coach willing to maximize his strengths. This was complemted by Saquon Barkley finally playing again after missing the majority of the past two seasons. The playmakers on the outside have improved, but only slightly. Parris Campbell is an upgrade in the slot, Darius Slayton has been sneaky consistent on the outside, and Isaiah Hodgins was a good player in just under 600 snaps. For the Giants to be more dynamic they need to have more production on the outside. Darren Waller is a great player when healthy, but relying on the health of an 8th year TE who's battled injuries is a scary proposition. He is a very productive player, but to see this offense take a leap they're going to need Waller on the field, and lastly, better offensive line play. Losing Jon Feliciano and Nick Gates has forced Ben Bredeson, who's been mediocre at best in his career so far, and rookie John Michael Schmitz into the starting lineup. The biggest leap they need to have happen on offense is from Evan Neal. Neal was arguably the worst tackle in the NFL last season. He has all the gifts in the world athletically, but he really needs to marry that raw talent with better line play. He got abused by the speed and bend of NFL pass rushers, and hopefully he's become more of a technician in year 2.


I really am scared for their defense. They were 30th in rush EPA/Play despite having Dexter Lawrence in the middle, who if not for being in a generation of outstanding, hall of fame caliber IDLs would be a superstar. To have such a poor run defense with a player like Dexter Lawrence in the middle means tow things. The play on the EDGE was exceptionally poor in the run game and the linebackers had severe issues filling the gaps. Kayvon Thibodeaux needs to take a superstar level leap to help this defense out. Leonard Williams needs to have more impact setting the edge if he's going to be more of a 5 tech lineman instead of a 3 tech, and Azeez Ojulari really needs to step up in run defense if the strong side is ever going to have life in run defense. The addition of Bobby Okereke is massive for the run game because he will fill gaps and do dirty work, I still don't think they can have a god run defense with Micah McFadden taking 500 snaps at the position.


I wish I could say that the secondary is better than the front 7 but man, the secondary was almost as bad as the run defense. 28th in EPA/Play and while leaps form Thibodeaux and Ojulari would help out the pass defense, but man, starting two rookie corners in today's NFL feels like a nightmare. They face CeeDee Lamb twice a year, AJ Brown and Devonta Smith twice a year, Terry McLaurin twice a year, and get to face DK Metcalf, Tyler Lockett, Jalyen Waddle, Tyreek Hill, Stefon Diggs, Garrett Wilson, and Davante Adams in 2023. Wink Martindale has his work cut out for him, and so the Giants.


OVER OR UNDER

While I love Brian Daboll and his potential as a coach, this roster is not quite there yet and with how they lucked out with a 3rd place schedule and the AFC South in 2022, they get that 3rd place Schedule again but this time its the AFC East in 2023. The underlying numbers spell regression, and I think I'm buying that. Under


Player Prop

Saquon is available at +1100-1500 to lead the NFL in rushing at some sportsbooks, jump on it if you can.




Dallas Cowboys

O/U: 9.5

Super Bowl: +1300

NFC Champion: +600

NFC East Winner: +175

Smiley N. Poo/ Dallas Morning News

2022 Record: 12-5(10-7 ATS)

2022 Offense: 3rd(DVOA 15th)

2022 Defense: 6th(DVOA 2nd)

2022 Special Teams: 12th(DVOA 10th)



Free Agency


Additions: RB Ronald Jones, CB Stephon Gilmore, IDL Ben Banogu, RT Chuma Edoga, LS Trent Stieg, WR Brandin Cooks


Re-signed: LT Tyron Smith, EGDE Dante Fowler Jr, LB Leighton Vander Esch, CB CJ Goodwin, IDK Jonathan Hankins, QB Cooper Rush, RB Tony pollard, RB Rico Dowdle, LT Terrence Steele, S Donovan Wilson, C Alec Lindstrom, S Juanyeh Thomas


Departures: RB Ezekiel Elliot, CB Anthony Brown, WR TY Hilton, LB Anthony Barr, LT Jason Peters, LS Matt Overton, LB Devante Bond, K Brett Maher, LG Avante Colins, CB Isaac Taylor-Stuart, TE Ian Bunting, RG Connor McGovern, IDL Carlos Watkins, RG Dakoda Shepley, LS Jack McQuiade, TE Dalton Schultz, WR Noah Brown, LB Luke Gifford


Draft


Round 1: Mazi Smith(26), Michigan DL

Round 2: Luke Schoonmaker(58), Michigan TE

Round 3: Demarvion Overshown(90), Texas EDGE

Round 4: Viliami Fehoko(129), San Jose State EDGE

Round 5: Asmi Richards(169), North Carolina OT

Round 6: Eric Scott Jr(178), Southern Mississippi CB, Deuce Vaughn(212), Kansas State RB

Round 7: Jalen Brooks(244) ,South Carolina WR


Undrafted Free Agents of Note

G TJ Bass, Oregon

OT Earl Bostick Jr, Kansas



2023 Preview



Man, talking about the Cowboys since roughly 2014 has felt the exact same every single season. Oh they have an absurdly talented roster???? They have a phenomenal Offensive Line lead by future hall of famers in Zach Martin and Tyron Smith. They have a great receiving corp between CeeDee Lamb, Brandin Cooks, and a healthy Michael Gallup. They moved on frome Zeke only to have Tony Pollard become the lead back with the reincarnation of Darren Sproles in Deuce Vaughn falling to them in the 6th round of the draft. Losing Dalton Schultz stinks out loud but at least they roll 3 deep at TE and they're all true TE's that can catch and block allowing for offensive ambiguity. It's annoying how skilled their team is and for them to lack success. The lack of success has to do with Mike McCarthy being out of his depth in tight, high leverage games and Dak Prescott being a turnover machine. In 394 attempts Dak threw 15 interceptions. The 3.8 Interception% was the worst in the entire NFL, clearing such esteemed players Carson Wentz, Davis Mills, Marcus Mariota and Zach Wilson. He also fumbled 4 times on top of that. The good news is that Dak was 5th in pass TD rate with one of 5.8%. So yeah it's a matter of Dr. Precott and Mr. Dak. The Cowboys season is riding on Mike McCarthy having fired Kellen Moore and calling plays again along with him needing to stop Dak Prescott's Jekyll and Hyde brand of Quarterbacking.


The defense kicks ass. They are awesome to watch. Unlike past years of Cowboys football, the defense isn't overhyped, it's very real. Dan Quinn has thrown it back to his legion of boom days and is turning his best players into weapons of mass destruction. Micah Parsons is a DPOY Favorite, Demarcus Lawrence is a monster in the middle, and they're adding burst with 1st round pick Mazi Smith. Dante Fowler is also there with his elite bend off the edge to clean up pressures and cause problems on the strong side. The front 4 elevate the rest of the roster. It makes the linebackers able to sniff out tackles easily, it allows corners to take advantage of pressured throw, It just makes life easy. And they're adding Stephon Gilmore to the mix. this defense has top 5, maybe even top 1 potential.


OVER OR UNDER

Over. 9.5 is too low and feels like cheating


Player Prop

Micah Parson DPOY is at +450. Take it and run





Philadelphia Eagles

O/U: 11.5

Super Bowl: +800

NFC Champion: +330

NFC East Winner: -115

AP Photo/Chris Szagola


2022 Record: 14-3(8-9 ATS)

2022 Offense: 2nd(DVOA 3rd)

2022 Defense: 8th(DVOA 6th)

2022 Special teams: 30th(DVOA 15th)


Free Agency


Additions: LB Nicholas Morrow, CB Greedy Williams, QB Marcus Mariota, WR Olamide Zaccheaus, WR Dan Arnold, RB D'Andre Swift, S Justin Evans, EDGE Kentavius Street, RB Rashaad Penny, S Terrell Edmunds


Re-signings: RB Boston Scott, EDGE Brandon Graham, LT Brett Toth, CB Darius Slay, IDL Fletcher Cox, QB Jalen Hurts, CB James Bradberry, C Jason Kelce, RT Lane Johnson, TE Tyree Jackson


Departures: P Brett Kern, IDL Linval Joseph, IDL Ndfamukoing Suh, EDGE Robert Quinn, IDL Javon Hargrave, LB TJ Edwards, LB Kyzir White, WR Zach Pascal, QB Gardner Minshew, S Chauncey Gardner- Johnson Jr, RB Miles Sanders, S Marcus Epps, LG Isaac Seumalo, LT Andre Dillard


Draft

Round 1: Jalen Carter(9), Georgia DL, Nolan Smith(30) Georgia EDGE

Round 3: Tyler Steen(65), Alabama OT, Sydney Brown(66), Illinois S

Round 4: Kelee RIngo(105), Georgia CB

Round 6: Tanner McKee(188), Stanford QB

Round 7: Moro Ojomo(249), Texas IDL


Undrafted Free Agents of Note

WR Jadon Haselwood, Arkansas

OT Trevor Reid, Louisville

LB Ben Vansumeren, Michigan State

CB Mehki Garner, LSU

CB Eli Ricks, Alabama



2023 Preview


The Philadelphia Eagles are retuning to the Super Bowl. Shocking and bold, I know. They're the only team with a QB I trust and they have a great roster. As great a roster as least year?? Well let's take a look.


The only thing capable of stopping the offense in the NFC are age and injury./ Eventually Jason Kelce and Lane Johnson will regress, but I'm not willing to bet against them until I see it for myself. even if they do regress there's a chance Jordan Mailata, Landon Dickerson, and Cam Jurgens keep getting better. AJ Brown, Devonta Smith, and Dallas Goedert are a great group of pass catchers, and with an offensive line as good as they have, I think I might be able to gain .1 yards behind them. The best part about being an Eagles fan has to be the knowledge that Jalen Hurts keep improving and has improved every sing year he's played high level football. I won't bet against that. The one thing that is of slight concern is that Philly really can't scheme against man coverage. Its bizarre that they have nothing for man coverage and expect them to struggle against defenses that really love to man up. It makes no sense why they don't have man beaters in their playbook and just try to run what they run passing wise, but hey, I'm not a coach.


The defensive rolls deep! not as deep as last season as you can see by the departures, but deep none the less! Haason Reddick and Josh Sweat lead a hellacious pass rush. Jordan Davis is a run stuffer and Jalen Carter should do just fine taking over for Fletcher Cox. If there's anything to truly worry about is that without Javon Hargrave the interior will be worse off, especially the run defense, and especially since they lost their starting linebackers from last season. Nakobe Dean is awesome but I'm not sure how easy it will be replacing Kyzir White and TJ Edwards. The secondary is also mid if the QB actually has clean looks. They played a lot of vanilla coverages and benefited from the pass rush, and like the front 4 rotation, they lost a number of key contributors.


OVER OR UNDER

OVER. The NFC Stinks out loud!!!!!!


Player Prop

Jalen Hurts for MVP is +1100 if you're into that sort of thing.




It's done, get out of here will ya?????? And Make some Money with Me while you're at it.






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