2025 NFL BEST BETS: WEEK 11

OVERS, UNDERS, SPREADS, ETC.

NFL Best Bet Season Record: 70-78-0

WE HAVE SOME MOMENTUM. BEST BETS WILL BE WON.

Washington Commanders vs Miami Dolphins(-2.5)

DK -120

FD -112

Tío, este partido es un auténtico bajón a estas alturas. Los Commanders están destrozados. Tienen a tantos jugadores en el parte de lesiones, y no es que fueran buenos antes de que la lista se hiciera enorme. Al menos los Dolphins tienen a algunos jugadores con talento en ataque y Tua puede pasar el balón a Waddle y Achane a tiempo. Tengo que quedarme con Miami para el partido de Madrid.

Los Angeles Chargers(-3.0) @ Jacksonville Jaguars

DK -105

FD -105

I hate this game. Truly. I hate this game with a passion. These teams are capable of losing or beating anybody. The Jaguars blew a 20 point lead to Davis Mills and the Texans awful offensive line. The Chargers are inconsistent but tend to have good games more often than not. I hate this game, but bare minimum, I know that Justin Herbert can dig deep and drag a team to a win in away Trevor hasn't since, ironically enough, when the Jags beat the Chargers in the 2022 playoffs. Plugging my nose and picking the Chargers.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Buffalo Bills(-6.0)

DK -110

FD -120

The Bills should win this game. The Buccaneers are battered and traveling up to a cold and miserable Buffalo. The Bills absolutely need this game to keep pace in the AFC. The Division is no guarantee and they should aim to get the AFC North winner as the top wild card team. DVOA also loves the Bills to gash the Buccs in the run game, which I can see happening given how teams can hit home runs on the ground against Tampa. I really like the Bills to win comfortably.

Chicago Bears @ Minnesota Vikings(-2.5)

DK -115

FD -115

The Bears are 6-3 and are 2.5 point dogs against a 4-5 Vikings team against where the QB is making his 5th start ever. That's how bad the Bears are and frankly, the Flores familiarity factor is real. I think that Caleb will look uncomfortable facing a defense that will disguise everything and that the Vikings offense will look great against a terrible Bears defense. Love the Vikes here.

Green Bay Packers(-7.5) @ New York Giants

DK -102

FD -102

The Packers desperately need to look good. They have no choice but to look good and dominate a Giants team that just fired Brian Daboll and will be without Jaxson Dart. The Packers have no choice but to utterly dominate the Giants and win by double digits.

Houston Texans(-5.5) @ Tennessee Titans

DK -112

FD -115

I hate the Texans and Titans with all my heart. However, the Texans are just an awful watch that, admittedly, have good players. The Titans are just flat out awful. There is nothing redeeming about them. This game is awful, but the Texans can at least score points against bad defenses.

Carolina Panthers(ML) @ Atlanta Falcons

DK +170

FD +172

NOW. This bet needs an explanation. DVOA thinks the Falcons will win. In general, the Falcons pass the eye test against the Panthers. It must be remembered that the Panthers skunked the Falcons earlier in the 2025 campaign. It also must be taken into account the the Falcons just lost in overtime game in Berlin, Germany. They not only had to play an extra period, but they then had to fly back, battered, and bruised, for 10 hours. The human element is entirely in the favor of the Panthers, who in the Bryce Young era have beaten them 3 out of 5 times. Like the Panthers here.

Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers(-5.5)

DK -112

FD -108

The Bengals cannot be bet on in any circumstance. The defense is too bad. This is a classic Steelers let down spot but they should be steady enough to win by a touchdown. Like Pittsburgh here.

San Francisco 49ers(-3.5) @ Arizona Cardinals

DK -108

FD -106

The 49ers will beat and cover against Cardinals. The Cardinals are mangled. The 49ers are mangled too, but Brock Purdy is returning after Mac Jones steadied the ship and that should at least be worth a touchdown as opposed to 3.5 points. Give me the Niners.

Seattle Seahawks(ML) @ Los Angeles Rams

DK +142

FD +152

The Seahawks under Mike Macdonald are 11-1 on the road. Straight up road warriors. While both teams are excellent, the one slight weakness the Rams have shown is that they can get beaten over the top. Sam Darnold has been outstanding in 2025 and that Seahawks pass game is the best in the NFL. The Rams can stuff the run but it's not like the Seahawks have been good at that anyways. The Seahawks defense should be able to get some stops, and now we have a Seahawks road dog ML win.

Kansas City Chiefs(-3.5) @ Denver Broncos

DK -105

FD -120

Andy Reid after a bye. Until the wheels fall off.

Baltimore Ravens(-7.5) @ Cleveland Browns

DK -111

FD -110

Ravens. Moving on.

Detroit Lions(+3.0) @ Philadelphia Eagles

DK -105

FD -104

The Eagles have something wrong with their offense. Straight up. I think they can still win this game, but they won't blow anybody out. The Lions are also too good on offense to only put up 7. This game should end up 20-17 minimum. And if it races into the 20s, I love the Lions. Give me the road cover.

 If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling, call (800) 327-5050 or visit https://gamblinghelplinema.org/ to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially.