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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 10/12/2023

Isiah Pacheco OVER Rushing Yards

DK O 75.5 -125

FD O 77.5 -113

NFL Best Bet Season Record: 20-12

Isiah Pacheco
Scott Winters/Icon Sportswire

This is maybe my single most straight forward player prop best bet I'll place all season. Pacheco is a violent runner that is one of my favorites to watch in the NFL. He hasn't really popped aside from a great week against the Jets, but he's scored 3 touchdowns and rushed for 325 yards on only 75 attempts so far.

Denver has an abysmal rush defense, and I'm taking out the Miami game for their game average. DVOA, EPA per Play, YPC, YAC, YBC, and YPG are all dead last. Even without the Miami game they are allowing an average of 147 yards per game. Just for fun I'll take out week 1 against the Raiders where they held Vegas to only 61 yards on the ground. Oh look, it's 176 yards per game. This is easy, this is straightforward, in the NFL we take singles up the middle.

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