Buffalo Bills(-1.5) @ New York Jets
DK -110
FD -110
NFL Best Bet Season Record: 42-44-4

Ever since Josh Allen became the Bills' starter in 2018, they have yet to lose 3 games in a row. The Jets and even Aaron Rodgers have had these stretches of bad play many a time over the past several seasons. I also am a believer in DVOA, and DVOA projections had the Bills as a 4 point favorite on the road. Vegas sometimes has bizarre lines that do not reflect reality, and DVOA is a reflection of reality. Buffalo ranks 7th in team total DVOA and the Jets rank 20th. The Bills offense ranks 9th and the Jets defense ranks 12th, and the biggest gap is the Bills' 7th ranked defense getting to matchup against the Jets 23rd ranked offense. Firing Robert Saleh does not fix a horrendous offense that is clearly tailored exclusively to what Aaron Rodgers likes, and what Aaron Rodgers likes is archaic and incredibly easy to cover.
I think the Bills win tonight in New Jersey, and it's comfortable. Watch out or James Cook tonight as well, he's a great RB1 and the Jets are gash-able with their 21st ranked rushed defense. Love the Bills as today's best bet.
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