Philadelphia Eagles @ Kansas City Chiefs(-3.0/-2.5)
DK -3.0 +100
FD -2.5 -115
NFL Best Bet Season Record: 34-33-1
AS part of my not overthinking it theme for week 11, I 'm not overthinking what decades of history have taught me about Andy Reid and his teams. Andy Reid is 21-3 after a bye in his 24 years as an NFL head coach. Patrick Mahomes is 35-8 all time at Arrowhead. DVOA has the Chiefs at 3rd in the NFL while the Eagles are at 10th.
The mathcup to watch for me is how the CHiefs perform on offense. Their interior OLIne is one of the few equipped to handle the onslaught of Jalen Carter, Jordan Davis, and Fletcher Cox on the inside. Joe Thuney, Creed Hemphrey, and Tre Smith ar awesome. They are primed to maul upfront, which will show the flaws that are present in teh Eagles back 7.
I'm not overthinking this best bet. Chiefs by 4.
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