Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs UNDER 45.5
DK -112
FD -110
NFL Best Bet Season Record: 70-62-4
I don't see a world where this game isn't a grind. The Chiefs average 7 plays per drive, which is second most in the NFL only behind Washington, who average 7.33 plays per drive. The thing is, they take those 7 plays and get 36.94 yards per drive, which is 8th best in the NFL. Tampa Bay is the inverse. They are 5th in the NFL at 37.60 yards per drive and on average they are running 6.25 plays per drive, which ranks 11th.
With both teams gaining chunks of yardage methodically down the field, their defenses come into play. The Chiefs allow 29.96 yards per drive as a defense, which ranks 13th and Tampa allows 35.66 which ranks 26th. Both teams allow offenses to gain yards, especially Tampa, but there is lack of explosiveness on both offenses and I just don't think there will be enough possessions in this game for there to be 46 points. Both teams are top 10 in time of possession as well, and neither have played the Colts to juice those numbers.
Like every Chiefs game, I expect a grind, and when games are grinds, we make our best bets the under.
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