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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 4/12/2024

St. Louis Cardinals @ Arizona Diamondbacks(-1.5)

DL +160

FD +140

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 3-5

Sean M. Haffey/GettyImages

Steven Matz Can't fool me. He will go 6 innings. He will give up at least 3 runs. I actually think he'll be giving up more because Arizona's bats are lively. They've already amassed 2.3 fWAR through 13 games and average 5.69 runs per game. I think there's a strong chance Steven Matz gets rocked in the desert since the Snakes are an average fastball hitting team that does a lot of damage against breaking pitchers. Matz has a good fastball, but poor breaking pitches.

I also think the Red Birds can deal with Arizona's team speed. They've allowed 10 stolen bases without catching anyone stealing. Arizona can run wild and stress the defense into errors. For all the above the Snakes are my best bet tonight.

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