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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 6/11/2024

Cleveland Guardians(-1.5) @ Cincinnati Reds

DK +130

FD +128

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 51-51

David Fry
Getty Images

The Reds have been playing much better ball of late, but a lot of that has to do with playing the Cubs, Rockies, and Cubs again in their last 10. The Guard Dawgs are a step in weight class. they slash .240/.318/.400 as a team and have 10.1 fWAR, good for 10th in all of MLB. They have a team ERA and FIP of 3.42 and 3.76 respectively. Most importantly they have a Left on Base Rate of 76.6%, good for 3rd in all of MLB. They also play some defense and have a a defensive value of 3.7, good for 13th in all of MLB. It's a team game and when you're good in all aspects, you win as many games as the Guard Dawgs do.

Sticks McKenzie is taking the bump for them against a bullpen day for the Reds. I think that Cleveland's offense is just too good for most teams leading with an opener, and I could see the Naylor brothers and Jose Ramirez taking advantage of the small park, making them best bet worthy.

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