OVERS, UNDERS, SPREADS, ETC.
NFL Best Bet Season Record: 95-83-4
Finishing off the week with some best bets to win. Let's rock
Seattle Seahawks(-1.5) @ New York Jets
DK -108
FD -102
The Seahawks are 23-7 in East Coast 1PM games since 2013, which includes 2 wins in 2024. The Jets are a disaster in all aspects. This line should be closer to double digits but at least Vegas stopped giving away free money on the Jets.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Cincinnati Bengals OVER 47.5
DK -110
FD -104
The Steelers are 6-5 to the over even with all of those Justin Fields games. The Bengals are 8-3 to the over because their offense is awesome and their defense is terrible. We should see another 34-27 type of Bengals game, who knows who ends up on top.
Indianapolis Colts @ New England Patriots OVER 42.5
DK -110
FD -110
The Patriots are 5-2 to the over since inserting Drake Maye into the lineup. The Colts are a who knows kind of team and that who knows kind of team could result in anything from single digits to a 4 touchdown game. Given that both defenses are bad, in the Patriots case they just don't have NFL players at too many positions and the Colts have plenty of talent that is just being misused, 42.5 seems very low and I expect a 24-20 type of game.
Tennessee Titans @ Washington Commanders OVER 44.5
DK -108
FD -105
The Titans are 6-4-1 to the over. The Commanders are 8-4 to the over. I'm expecting the Titans to have a bunch of big plays that lead to at least 3 scores and I'm also expecting the Commanders to bounce back by being given short fields by the Titans' abysmal special teams. We Should see some fireworks in DC>
Arizona Cardinals @ Minnesota Vikings UNDER 44.5
DK -112
FD -106
The Cardinals and Vikings both play good defense and their offenses have been prone to stalling from time to time. Arizona is 4-6-1 to the over and Minnesota is 4-7 to the over. There's a point where consistency sets in and when both teams consistently keep offenses behind the sticks, we see rock fights that are sickos only(me).
Los Angeles Chargers @ Atlanta Falcons OVER 47.5
DK -110
FD -115
The Chargers and Falcons meeting is like a singularity occurring. Both teams. As we've seen with certain franchises, such as the Bears and Jets, sometimes they just invent new ways to lose. The Chargers and Falcons have fit that mold in the past but it looks like we've added stabilizing factors into the mix. Both teams are experiencing culture shifts and becoming boring in a good way. That boring cannot escape one truth that has been the truth for all but one season in the 70's; the Falcons have bad defenses.
If Jessie Bates isn't putting on the cape, the Falcons are getting torched. The Chargers defense can be schemed against when faced with overwhelming talent, which the Atlanta offense has and can flash if the pass rush isn't winning instantly. We should see a ton of points in this game, which means it'll finish 6-3.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Carolina Panthers OVER 46.5
DK -110
FD -110
The Tampa Bay offense is awesome. They can very easily carve up any defense they face. Bryce Young looks like a new QB and last week he absolutely torched Steve Spagnuolo's blitzes to the point where he stopped blitzing. 11/14 for 123 yards and a touchdown is fantastic and we all know that Todd Bowles is a freak when it comes to blitzing. We should have ourselves a very fun game.
Houston Texans @ Jacksonville Jaguars(-3.5)
DK -112
FD -110
This an anti Texans bet. I'm sick of them. It's like how I'm sick of the Chiefs because they're incapable of putting a complete game together and just allow their opponents to make mistakes for them. They face teams that are on their level an they get whooped. In the Texans' case they can be gifted 5 turnovers and still lose. This is less a bet on the Jaguars and more a bet against the Texans and it feels great.
Los Angeles Rams(-3.0) @ New Orleans Saints
DK -102
FD -122
I love the Rams to get to 6-6 because the NFC West needs to be as chaotic as possible. I also just don't trust the Saints to do to well since their is a significant coaching mismatch. Darren Rizzi is a fun story but I don't think he can prep a defense to defend Kupp and Nacua while also scheming things up enough to negate the Jared Verse and Braden FIske pass rush. Rams all day.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Baltimore Ravens(-3.0)
DK -102
FD -122
LAMAR AGAINST THE NFC ALERT. REMINDER: LAMAR JACKSON IS 23-1 STRAIGHT UP AGAINST NFC OPPONENTS.
Aside from that we have a strength on strength matchup where the Ravens are 8th at stopping the run and Philly is 3rd at running the ball. You also have the number 1 rush offense in Baltimore up against the 9th ranked rush defense Philly sports. I think the key thing is that Jalen Hurts absolutely has to have a great game to keep up with the Ravens gashing a Philly defense that invites early down runs. The Ravens will load up to stop the run, Jalen Hurts for the first time since the 1st game of the season, will need to win the game for the Eagles and I'm unsure if he's consistent enough downfield to do that against an offense that is an easy 31 points a game.
San Francisco 49ers @ Buffalo Bills(-6.0)
DK -112
FD -122
The 49ers haven't played a complete game since October 10th. They're injured and ineffectual. They're also facing a team that has never lost after a bye in the Bills under Sean McDermott. The Bills are getting healthy, they've activated Matt Milano, and Josh Allen is engaged. The vibes couldn't be better for the Bills. Buffalo all the way this time.
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