OVERS, UNDERS, SPREADS, ETC.
NFL Best Bet Season Record: 109-93-6
THE FINAL QUARTER OF NFL BEST BETS BEGIN
Baltimore Ravens(-16.5) @ New York Giants
DK -110
FD -102
Red Zone flyover game. Maybe Lamar will do something really cool. That's the only real positive to be had in this game. No Dexter Lawrence also means that the run game will be unhindered for the Ravens, which they impose on good teams, let alone bad teams.
New York Jets @ Jacksonville Jaguars UNDER 41.0
DK -110
FD -112
Yuck. P and U. Red Zone flyover.
Washington Commanders @ New Orleans Saints OVER 43.5
DK -115
FD -114
DVOA has this game as a 29-20 victory for the Commies. I agree with the amount of points that will get scored, but 2nd half of the season Kliff still scares me beyond belief. I cannot bet on the Commies to cover a full touchdown against a super veteran team, as they can be had even by backups on their defense. Should be a fun one in the dome.
Cincinnati Bengals(-5.5) @ Tennessee Titans
DK -108
FD -120
The Bengals smash bad teams, except the Patriots for some reason, and the Titans are no exception. The Titans couldn't muster touchdowns against the Jaguars and there is no reason to think that they won't get swept by the big cat teams this season if they are capable of losing to QB's as bad as Mac Jones. The Bengals should put up 35 minimum.
Miami Dolphins(ML) @ Houston Texans
DK +120
FD +128
The Texans have horrible vibes. Their offensive line is a mess. The offense has no easy buttons to set up favorable downs. CJ Stroud has regressed to who he was projected to be over the future top 5 QB he looked like his rookie season thanks to play calling and OLine play. The defense is addicted to giving up big plays and is capable of giving up 32 points in a game to the 31st ranked offense in the NFL despite sacking the quarterback 8 times. They are with their signal caller and starting MIKE backer Azeez Al-Shaair because he is a dirty player and I can't think the bye week can save a reeling team from offenses that wear defenses out.
The Dolphins exhaust defenses and neutralize pass rushes thanks to excellent run design and Tua's superhuman ability to get the ball out of his hands to the fastest group of playmakers in the NFL. There's already that strain on the defensive line and Shanahan systems really isolate your MIKE backers and make them have to play their best games to stuff the run game. I also think the Texans are too dysfunctional on offense to bet on, so I'm going Dolphins all the way.
Kansa City Chiefs @ Cleveland Browns(+4.5)
DK -108
FD -115
The Chiefs haven't covered 7 straight games. Set it and forget it type of bet to pick whoever they're playing against to cover at this point.
Dallas Cowboys @ Carolina Panthers(-3.0)
DK -105
FD -122
Easiest bet of the week. For the first time in the Make Money with Mace era the Carolina Panthers are favored in a game. Bryce is balling. The Cowboys can't stop a nosebleed. Panthers all day.
New England Patriots @ Arizona Cardinals OVER 46.5
DK -112
FD -118
The Patriots are OVER machines. 8-5 to the over is no small feat! Shout out an interior with 1 NFL caliber player and Drake Maye for all of these overs! The Cardinals offense is good enough to take advantage of a poor Patriots unit while their defense is not so good that it will prevent Drake Maye from leading his team to 20+ points, a feat he's accomplished in 4/8 starts.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Los Angeles Chargers(-2.5)
DK -120
FD -104
When you have tow teams as even as the Buccs and Chargers, you sift through the data to find what can swing the game. In this game, it'll be decided by the Blitz.
Todd Bowles has his defense blitz at the 2nd highest rate in the NFL, which should fair poorly against the Chragers passing attack that has Justin Herbert ranked 3rd by PFF grade against the blitz this season. What's even worse for Tampa is that they play zone behind those blitzes and Herbert ranks 2nd against zone coverage by PFF grading. Unless Bowles starts throwing some drop 8 man coverage with a cover 3 or quarters shell over the top, Herbert will carve up the Buccs and the Chargers great pass defense will keep Baker in check.
Buffalo Bills @ Detroit Lions OVER 54.5
DK -110
FD -110
This game rocks. The Bills won't be able to stop the Lions rush attack and once they commit to the run they do not have the secondary to effectively man up against all of the Lions' weapons. The Lions defense is a MASH unit that does not have the horses to slow down Josh Allen and all of his weapons. I'm hoping for a 38-35 showing.
Indianapolis Colts @ Denver Broncos OVER 43.5
DK -112
FD -104
This game does not rock, but it can finish 24-20. Gus Bradley's defenses force QB's to be effective in short yardage and intermediate ranges which is what Bo Nix is great and where Sean Payton likes to focus. The Broncos defense has not been the same since the Riley Moss injury and he is not returning this week, so I expect Anthony Richardson to continue his improved play as PS2 can only cover one of Josh Downs, Michael Pittman, or Alec Pierce. I think both teams will move the ball well and we see a well played game between a 25 year old rookie and 22 year old 2nd year player.
Pittsburgh Steelers(ML) @ Philadelphia Phillies
DK +220
FD +215
Mike Tomlin as a road dog is maybe my favorite moneyline bet. So far, it's 3-0 on the season and is historically relevant, as he is the only coach with a winning record when declared an underdog in NFL history. I love the Steelers in this spot because they have a defense capable of bottling up Saquon and that sets up the vicious pass rush that is finally fully healthy with the return of Alex Highsmith. I also think an experienced QB can handle Fangio and that's exactly what Russ is.
Green Bay Packers @ Seattle Seahawks(ML)
DK +114
FD +122
Since the bye week, Seattle's defense hasn't allowed more than 18 points, including an impressive 2 field goals allowed performance and a pick 6 to beat Arizona in week 13. Green Bay does not play its best on the road. Even with their 4-2 road record, they did not cover against the Bears or Jaguars. I think that seeing their propensity to just play a little worse away from Lambaeu, I like the Seahawks who are riding a 4 game win streak into tonight's action
 If you or a loved one is experiencing problems with gambling, call (800) 327-5050 or visit https://gamblinghelplinema.org/ to speak with a trained specialist free and confidentially.
Comentarios