Los Angeles Chargers(-3.0) @ Houston Texans
Pittsburgh Steelers(+9.5) @ Baltimore Ravens
NFL Best Bet Season Record: 141-122-7
WILD CARD WEEKEND BEST BETS BEGIN. LET'S WIN THEM
Los Angeles Chargers(-3.0) @ Houston Texans
DK -105
FD -102
The playoffs are about finding an advantage and hammering it as often as possible. In the Chargers case, they have a massive advantage with their defensive line and defense overall. Joey Bosa, Khalil Mack, Tui Tuipulotu, and Morgan Fox will be able to consistently get home against the Texans leaky OLine in the pass rush along with mucking up the run game enough to let Denzel Perryman, Daiyan Henley, and Derwin James fill gaps to stuff Joe Mixon. The lack of receiving options also lets their stellar secondary focus on removing Nico Collins from the game and force Xavier Hutchinson and Jon Metchie to beat them consistently. Overall, the Chargers have the advantage when Houston is on offense.
The Chargers also have the advantage on offense. The two best players for the Chargers on offense that aren't Justin Herbert are Joe Alt and Rashawn Slater. They can handle Danielle Hunter and Will Anderson while the Chargers relatively weaker interior OLine gets to match up against the weak interior defensive lineman of the Texans. While the secondary is a strength of the Texans, that might not matter as much as the Chargers will run the damn ball. They are 9-3 when JK Dobbins is active and Dobbins will be active. Give me the Bolts all day.
Pittsburgh Steelers(+9.5) @ Baltimore Ravens
DK -108
FD -105
This game can't be a blow out. It just can't. My nostalgia won't let it. I simply cannot allow myself to think that the Ravens will score enough to make this a two possession game. Zay Flowers being out changes the math and allows the Steelers to play a heavy ox without fear. This game will have no love lost. Steelers cover the 9.5.
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