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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 5/14/2024

Miami Marlins @ Detroit Tigers(-1.5)

DK +120

FD +118


Reese Olson
AP Photo/Erin Hooley

Any run line that is positive against the Marlins is fair grounds for a Best Bet. Especially when it's a quality starter against them. In 7 starts he's good for a 2.52 ERA and 2.73 FIP. He has yet to allow a homerun in 39.1 IP and has induced a 54.5% GB Rate. For a 24 year old with less than 100 IP under his belt, his under the hood stats are promising as well.

His only pitch that has been performing poorly is his Sinker, which is getting hit at a .359/.487 clip. The Slider and Change are accruing a 42.3% and 50.7% Whiff Rate which is just filthy. Miami has the worst non-White Sox offense by a wide margin. Having a -0.6 fWAR for team batting while the 28th ranked Reds still have 0.9 fWAR is staggering. No reason to think a team that can't get on base once an inning on average will have a good chance against a quality starter.

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