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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 5/31/2024

Chicago White Sox @ Milwaukee Brewers(-1.5)

DK +130

FD +126

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 37-46

Abner Uribe
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sport

Staying on best bet track means looking at how teams are ATS and hunting good and bad ATS matchups. Milwaukee is 32-24 to the run line while the White Sox are 23-34 to the run line. Erick Fedde is a good pitcher, but as his last start shows, he can be great and that isn't enough when the White Sox have to go the bullpen against a great offense. Milwaukee as a team is slashing .253/.329/.415 and is one of 5 offenses that have accrued at least 10.0 fWAR, coming in 3rd with 12.2.

What makes their offense impressive is that they have 6 1.0 fWAR players through 2 months, and have another 3 bats trending towards 2.0 fWAR seasons. Once it's confirmed that you have an offenses that can't be kept down, and is getting lead by William Contreras' .317/.387/.500 slash line, it's hard to imagine a world where the White Sox are able to manufacture enough offenses to cover, let alone win against such an opponent.

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