Texas Rangers @ Los Angeles Dodgers(-1.5)
DK +105
FD +105
MLB Best Bet Season Record: 52-51

Listen. Sometimes a Best Bet is just the Dodgers have positive odds. Walker Buehler looks a little rusty coming off his Tommy John surgery, but I'm not sure how much that will matter. The Dodger Bullpen is 8th in IP so far in 2024 and they have a 75.8% left on base rate, which is good for 4th in all of MLB. Their bullpen FIP is shaky at 3.91, but their ability to strand batters is really good and saves them a ton of runs.
The Rangers are going with a bullpen day and their Bullpen has not been great. Their ranked 23rd in bullpen fWAR and have an ERA nd FIP of 4.80 and 4.41 respectively. The issue is that 13% of all flyballs become Home Runs and they rank 21st in LOB rate at 69.6%. The Dodgers are the number 1 ranked offense by fWAR and have hit the third most home runs in all of MLB. 12.4% of all Dodger fly balls are home runs and I think they'll be able to do damage to the Rangers bullpen.
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