Best Bet 6/19/2025

Baltimore Orioles @ Tampa Bay Rays(-1.5)

DK +147

FD +146

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 50-62

USA Today

The Rays are red hot. After a very mediocre start to the year of 14-16 at the end of April, They've gone 27-17 since, and are 11-5 in June, slashing .271/.345/.427 as a team. Jonathan Aranda in particular has been exceptional with a .348/.429/.475 slash line and Brandon Lowe, Curtis Mead, Junio Caminero, Yandy Diaz, Danny Jansen, Josh Lowe and Taylor Walls have all posted wRC+ of at least 105. The Lineup has been raking while the starting trio of Ryan Pepiot, Drew Rasmussen, and Shane Baz are going out shoving every start and have been all season. What's been the real boon is that bullpen has started to follow suit. Eric Orze, Pete Fairbanks, Manuel Rodriguez, Cole Sulser, and Garret Cleavinger have been awesome.

Baltimore has been better in June. They are 10-6 which is obviously a marked improvement over their 21-36 start. The pitching is still a massive issue but at least Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson are slashing .333/.397/.549 and .373/.431/.475 respectively and that's been a much needed positive development. Jordan Westburg has been awesome in the 8 games he's played since returning from injury and Heston Kjerstad is showing signs of life. All of this is nice but the reality is that Charlie Morton is going to get shelled by Tampa because Tampa is not fooled by curveballs. Drew Rasmussen will also pepper the Orioles with his 3 fastballs and as a team they have not proven able to consistently hit the cutter and sinker.

Baltimore will likely finish closer to .500 than what they're first two months of the year suggested, but ultimately we have a team firing on all cylinders against a team that needs to score 6+ to win games. Tampa for the best bet tonight.

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