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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 6/5/2024

Baltimore Orioles(-1.5) @ Toronto Blue Jays

DK +164

FD +155

MLB Best Bet Season Record: 43-49

Jess Rapfogel/Associated Press

Jose Berrios has been very lucky in 2024. I believe in FIP when facing a team that hits tons of home runs, and Berrios has a 4.25 FIP in comparison to his 2.78 ERA. He's also been extremely lucky with BABIP and LOB rate. I just don't know how sustainable 87.3% LOB Rate for a starter is, along with a .259 BABIP.

The Orioles have a .279 BABIP and an MLB high SLG of .446. I won't quite them as my Best Bet until they give me a reason to not best bet them. Toronto has also just been a bad offense this season. They have a team slash line .233/.310/.370, and I don't think they'll be picking it up against the baby birds.

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