Chicago Cubs @ Kansas City Royals(-1.5)
DK +136
FD +136
MLB Best Bet Season Record: FADE ME (78-102)

You know, sometimes a best bet is believing what a team tells you about themselves. The Royals are 58-48 ATS on the season and 56-47 straight up. The Cubs are 49-55 straight up and 48-56 ATS. The Cubs also have not scored 5 runs since 7/19. They're a moribund offense. Meanwhile the Royals can do a bit of hitting. They do go under quite a bit, but they've scored at least 5 runs in 6 of their last 10 outings. They can generate offense at a high level especially with Bobby Witt Jr making an MVP push.
While the Cubs do feature a handful of great starters , they are not facing Imanaga, Assad, or Steele. Kyle Hendricks is taking the bump for the Cubs, who is simply not the same guy from the great Cubs teams of the 2010's.
The poor peripherals are telling the story as well. The sinker is getting slammed, with a .358 BA and .525 SLG allowed. The Changeup isn't good enough either, with a .259 BA and .425 SLG against. The 4SEAM, which he's thrown 155 times in 2024, is getting hit at a .353 BA and .941 SLG clip. The only pitch that's of any positive value is the curveball ,which is exceptional at a .107 BA and .214 SLG against. The issue with that is you can't throw a hook 60 times a game without inevitably hanging one, and you can't allow a pitch that relies on deception to become so obvious.
All in all, the Royals should take care of business at home, where they're 35-220 straight up., Helps that the Cubs are also 22-30 on the road.
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