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  • Writer's pictureMason Dalley

Best Bet 8/5/2023

Cody Bellinger OVER 1.5 Total Bases

DK +125

FD +120

BSB +120

Best Bet Season Record: 12-12

All we need is Cody Bellinger to get a hold of one. He's slashing .319/.369/.538 on the season, and that's important. When Belli gets a hold of one, it goes a long way 53.8% of the time. It takes two to tango and our best bet for this best bet to hit is if Bryce Elder cooperates.

Bryce Elder is a solid starting pitcher. A 3.18 ERA and 4.15 FIP in 121.2 IP is good, especially on a team like the Braves where all they need is a decent outing to win with how much their offense bangs. He's an old school let the defense work sort of pitcher and the Baseball Savant page does a good job showing that.

Elder is great at avoiding barrels, but fortunately for our best bet, Bellinger hasn't needed to barrel everything up to have the bounce back year he's been having.

Regardless of how the game turns out hitter who doesn't care about barreling up the baseball against a pitcher who excels only because he avoids barrels. Take Belli hitting a double, or maybe a single and a walk, and who knows, maybe even more than that.

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